NASA’s solar forecast is turning out to be wrong. This team’s model is still on track.

Solar cycle 25 kicked off last year. Forecasters thought it would be a mild one, but it’s turning out to be quite the opposite. From its onset, this solar cycle has been steadily outpacing predictions, producing more sunspots and spewing way more solar wind, flares and eruptions than the world’s leading experts predicted. 

But while most space weather scientists are scratching their heads, saying “We still know very little about our star,” one heliophysicist has become the dark horse in space weather forecasting. His model of the sun‘s behavior seems to have gotten it right.

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